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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.6% before 2027?

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027? · 3.6%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Scheduled end
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Open

How settlement actually works on Polymarket

This outcome shares its settlement rules with the other outcomes of How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?, which is where they are described in full.