Will Trump deport less than 200k people?
A Politics market on Polymarket in How many people will Trump deport in 2026?, one of 10 outcomes.
How this market resolves
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
- Scheduled end
- Market last updated
- Status
- Open
How settlement actually works on Polymarket
This outcome shares its settlement rules with the other outcomes of How many people will Trump deport in 2026?, which is where they are described in full.