POLYMARKET INTELLIGENCE
Polymarket markets we publish
406 markets have a page here, open and settled alike. Each one carries the settlement rules that decide it.
| Market | Category | Status | Scheduled end | Market updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
40+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
2Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
3Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
October 31Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
October 31Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
September 300 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
September 30Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
China x Japan military clash before 2027?China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
October 31European military action against Iran by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
October 31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
December 31, 2026US x Russia military clash by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
December 31Will Russia capture Vodianske by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
<25Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
20+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
30+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
KuwaitWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
6How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
January 31Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
April 30Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
20-40Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
30-34Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
December 31US x Russia military clash by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 19Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
September 30Houthi military action against Israel by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
April 15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
November 30Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
December 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
December 31European military action against Iran by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
June 7Israeli forces enter Choukine by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Iran coup attempt by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Will Iran target a Arab country on...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
15-20Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 15Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
March 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 7Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
Donald TrumpWho will visit Ukraine by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open |