POLYMARKET INTELLIGENCE
Polymarket markets we publish
408 markets have a page here, open and settled alike. Each one carries the settlement rules that decide it.
| Market | Category | Status | Scheduled end | Market updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
May 31Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 20Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
20-25Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?China ballistic missile launch by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 31Israeli forces enter Beirut by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
9How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 31Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
40+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
40+Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
December 31, 2025Israel and Syria normalize relations by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
25-30Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
September 30Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026?Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31, 2026? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 4Will Iran target a Arab country on...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 13US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
50+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 9Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
May 31Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Israel military action against Beirut by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 24Houthi military action against Israel by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
8How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
March 31Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
JD VanceWho will visit Ukraine by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Will Russia capture Shevchenko by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
50+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
April 30Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
December 31Iran invades Kuwait by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 15Iran charges Hormuz fees by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Houthi military action against Israel by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Houthi military action against Israel by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
AfghanistanWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
April 30Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
January 31US military action against Cuba by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
60+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Will Russia capture Svitle by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved |