POLYMARKET INTELLIGENCE
Polymarket markets we publish
408 markets have a page here, open and settled alike. Each one carries the settlement rules that decide it.
| Market | Category | Status | Scheduled end | Market updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
US x China Military clash before 2027?US x China Military clash before 2027? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
António CostaWho will visit Ukraine by December 31? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
May 31Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
May 31Will Russia capture Myropillia by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
June 30Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 140 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
IraqWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
July 31Israeli forces enter Choukine by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
September 15Will Iran target Syria by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
May 31Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
60-80Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
100+Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31Will Russia enter Moskovka by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
3How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 21Israel military action against Beirut by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 2Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 15US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
October 31Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Iran invades Kuwait by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Iran invades Kuwait by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 1Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
35-39Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
June 30Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
40+Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
Nothing Ever Happens: AugustNothing Ever Happens: August | Geopolitics | Open | ||
August 31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
May 31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
1How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
July 31Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Israel military action against Syria by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
April 30Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
December 31Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
December 31Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
North KoreaWhich countries will recognize Israel by December 31? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
14How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
12How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
May 31Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
August 31Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
December 31, 2025NATO x Russia military clash by...? | Geopolitics | Resolved | ||
September 30Will Iran target Syria by...? | Geopolitics | Open | ||
10-15Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September? | Geopolitics | Open |