POLYMARKET INTELLIGENCE

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Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.2–0.4%?Politics·Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory (0.2% Brackets)Resolved$11

Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?Politics·Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?——$11

Lars Markus HildingssonPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Blekinge?——$11

Mark KellyPolitics·Democratic VP Nominee 2028——$11

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?Politics·Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?——$10

Élisabeth BornePolitics·Next French Presidential Election——$10

Republican 15-20%Politics·UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Democrat 30-35%Politics·TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Ewa-May KarlssonPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?——$10

Sara HallinPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?——$10

Anton Bergström NordPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?——$10

Mikael StrandmanPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Värmland?——$10

2.5k-5kPolitics·How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?——$10

Democratic PartyPolitics·LA-05 House Election Winner——$10

2M-2.15MPolitics·Arizona Governor Election: Turnout——$10

Republican 20-25%Politics·FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 20-25%Politics·Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 15-20%Politics·FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Democrat 12%+Politics·TX-35 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 18%+Politics·FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 9-12%Politics·NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Democrat 25-30%Politics·VT-AL House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 15-18%Politics·FL-13 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Republican 3-6%Politics·Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory——$10

Party of PensionersPolitics·Tver Oblast Parliament Election: Party Winner——$10

Democrat WinsPolitics·TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

SamaraPolitics·Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina——$10

Pete HegsethPolitics·Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?——$10

Republican 25-30%Politics·TX-08 House Election Margin of Victory——$10

Jonas KarlbergPolitics·Next Regional Board Chair of Västerbotten?——$10